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US President Donald Trump might face major trouble on Election Day on Tuesday. A Republican strategist for Fox News, Colin Reed has warned and said that Trump will not benefit in 2020 from the conditions that propelled him to the White House over Hillary Clinton in 2016. He said, “Trump faces an ominous four-headed monster as campaign 2020’s hourglass winds down factors that will reverberate down-ballot into Senate races”. Reed said there is a sign of trouble for President Trump that he has to campaign in states like Georgia and play defense in states he should already have secured. The strategist also pointed at Joe Biden’s financial advantage over Trump and the coronavirus epidemic was cresting at the worst possible time.

Reed also said the most important factor in the race was that Biden is not Hillary Clinton. He said, “His approval numbers are right at 50 percent, according to Real Clear Politics, with his unfavorable marks sitting at 44. Clinton, by contrast, entered election day 2016 with her favorability 12 points underwater, 42-54%”. Reed predicted that Trump still has a chance of winning but he is a long shot to win a second term. He said, “If Trump can somehow pull another rabbit out of his hat, it will be a greater political feat than even his remarkable 2016 victory”. Nationwide polling and survey data leading up to Election Day have provided consistently optimistic news for Joe Biden.

The founder of the election polling site FiveThirtyEight, Nate Silver said President Trump has about a 10% chance of winning and that his victory would come down to Pennsylvania. It is one of the most crucial battleground states in the 2020 presidential election. Silver compared recent polls in Pennsylvania to others that showed Biden with a stronger lead. Silver said, “Pennsylvania has not bumped up to a 7 or 8 point Biden lead as we see in Michigan and Wisconsin. It is for 5 points. It’s not a big early voting state, so a lot of votes have not yet been cast in Pennsylvania. Among the votes that were sent in by mail, there are some provisions about a naked ballot, a security envelope. That could make things more complicated. You could have the courts involved”.