Trump’s re-election support shaking in Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania against Joe Biden
Listen to this articleUS President Donald Trump is seemingly slipping in the polls among a crucial faction of his base because many older voters in critical states for his re-election appeared to support Joe Biden. The recent analysis from polling experts at Nate Silver’s FiveThirtyEight showed Trump falling behind Biden in key swing states like Florida. A Quinnipiac University survey had the former vice president above the Republican incumbent by 52% to 42% in mid-April among voters age 65 and above. A Fox News poll has shown Biden was, however, leading in the state that helped Trump win his 2016 election among all voters, albeit by a narrow three-point margin.
The recent can be paired with another report from CNN. The report showed Biden polling nearly 6 points higher than former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton’s final margin in the presidential election 2016. The CNN report included polls that had the presumptive Democratic nominee above Trump in other states like Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania. The New York Times reported that Trump’s own internal polling had him losing to Biden among older voters. The news outlet was citing the coronavirus pandemic and his administration’s seemingly slow response to the Covid-19 outbreak in the United States. President Trump was just behind Biden by as much as 1.4% among 45 to 64-year-olds.
It is noteworthy that his polling was worse than 2016 polling among all voting blocs above the age of 45. Trump won in 2016 in part because he received a majority of support among older voters. It was a demographic of Americans that historically go to the Republican candidate in presidential elections while younger voting blocs typically support the Democratic nominee. Moreover, polls aren’t necessarily always indicative of what may happen during the November vote, which isn’t too far. Previous surveys had shown Trump besting the former vice president among older voters. But, the latest tracking data is reportedly still showing Biden above Trump by as much as 2% among voters 65 and above.
